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J Hardy Carroll's avatar

Great post. I have been thinking along these same lines.

Orban’s Hungary was always the template for Project 2025. Win once, rewrite the rules so the state becomes a spoils machine that is loyal not to law or competence but to a single leader and his faction, then lock it in so it can never change.

The blueprint talked about shrinking government, but really it was about breaking the distinction between neutral civil servants and political appointees. Thousands of experts could be converted into at‑will “Schedule Policy/Career” loyalists or forced to resign. Musk's idiots added another layer by burrowing into the databases and stealing the private information of millions of people, and the repercussions of this crime have yet to surface.

It is classic Orbanization to delegitimize professionals as a “deep state,” strip their protections, and replace them with cadres who will execute whatever the executive wants, regardless of long‑term damage. Often these people are incompetent and have no experience in the field, but are arrogant and cruel. This incompetence is what will bring them down, but not right away.

This is because systems still have to deliver to the people they claim to represent, and they’re so fucking bad at it. When refugee policy becomes “racial and political preference with refugee paperwork on top,” even the favored groups eventually discover they’ve inherited a gutted apparatus that can’t actually help them.

When courts, unions, and a few stubborn institutions survive, the gap between the strongman myth and everyday reality becomes impossible to hide. Add to this the massive economic damage incurred by those at the bottom, it becomes increasingly difficult to shift blame. Fox may tell you prices are going down, but choosing between a loaf a bread and a tank of gas is the reality for a lot of people now. And don't get me started on medical debt.

The failure to deliver was why Orbán faced a public capable of saying “enough." This American imitation will ultimately meet the same fate once voters stop asking “Did you punish the enemies I hate?” and start asking “Did you make our lives better?”, the plebiscite they tried to rig will take them down.

But this time there needs to be consequences. Prison for the perpetrators---but that's a huge subject, because post-revolutionary fervor for perceived justice has usually led to blood in the streets, and the inevitable rise of an even worse tyranny. Look at the American south, or post-Nazi Germany, look at revolutionary France or Cuba or the Bolshevik revolution. Those who cannot remember the past and all that.

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